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Poll question: A year of starts

Housing starts are running well ahead of 2020. How will they finish the year?
8/23/2021

In 2020, there were 1,379,600 housing starts in the United States. That’s up 6.9% from 2019. 

So far this year, through July, housing starts are running ahead of the previous year by 21.8%. (933,600 to 766,600).

Interesting stat: Already in 2021, the United States has seen more total housing starts than in any single year between 2008 and 2013.

chart, bar chart
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This week’s poll question attempts to look into the near future at the end-of-year figure for residential construction. Here are two scenarios to help inform reader predictions:

Scenario 1: If housing starts mirror last year’s growth rate (7%), the full-year 2021 housing starts figure would be 1,476,172.

Scenario no. 2: If housing starts maintain the 22% year to date gain, the full-year 2021 housing starts figure would be 1,683,112.

Here’s the survey:

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