Home improvement and remodeling spending will slow in 2023, according to the Joint Center for Housing Studies of Harvard University (JCHS).
The JCHS released its latest Leading Indicator of Remodeling Activity (LIRA) report this morning, which shows after several years of double-digit gains, expenditures for improvements and repairs to the owner-occupied housing stock are expected to grow only modestly this year.
The LIRA projects a steep deceleration in annual gains of home renovation and maintenance spending from 16.3% at the close of 2022 to just 2.6% by year-end 2023.
“Slowdowns in existing home sales, house price appreciation, and mortgage refinancing activity coupled with growing concerns for a broader economic recession will cool home remodeling activity this year,” said Carlos Martín, project director of the Remodeling Futures Program at the Center. “Homeowners are likely to pull back on high-end discretionary projects and instead focus their spending on necessary replacements and smaller projects in the immediate future.”
Abbe Will, associate project director for the remodeling futures program, said the massive pandemic-induced changes in housing and lifestyle decisions fueled remodeling and repair spending in 2020 and 2021.